Valdez

Forecast as of 11/15/2022 at 08:00 AM and expires on 11/16/2022

Above 4,000ftNone

2,000 to 4,000ftNone

Below 2,000ftNone

Degrees of Avalanche Danger

Avalanche Activity

11/14-  Debris from a D3 natural avalanche at snow slide gulch ended 100 vertical feet above the Lowe river.  

Large avalanches (D2-2.5)also occurred in multiple other locations including Berlin Wall, Catchers Mitt, South Three Pigs and Billy Mitchell.  The activity extends beyond this list, and mostly occurred during the peak of warming and precipitation on 11/13.

Multiple natural D1-1.5 avalanches were observed on multiple aspects at low elevation.  No step downs noted.

Weather

 


Additional Information

 

Our snow season began with above average precipitation and temperatures.  Beginning in September, snow lines generally hung around 4500′ until 10/12.  At that point our area received the first snow down to sea level with 12-16 inches on the north side of Thompson Pass.  

On 10/15 wet conditions continued with the freezing line rising to 5000′ or higher. As skies finally cleared on 10/22 we were left with a thin rain saturated snowpack capped by a stout rain crust up to 4500′.  Above 4500′ much deeper snowpacks existed due to significant early season snowfall at upper elevations.

Dry and cold conditions along with moderate outflow winds finished out the month of October.

On 11/1 precipitation returned with 18 inches of snow and ~1″ of SWE on Thompson Pass.  This new snow was initially reactive with several natural D2 avalanches reported on Thompson Pass.  These slides were running on a firm bed surface consisting of old rain crusts and old wind slabs from October.

On 11/4 a strong north wind event kicked up with 65 mph+ winds on Thompson Pass.  Our snowpack received significant damage as already thin snow below 4500′ was stripped down to old wind slabs, rain crusts and the ground.  

Precipitation returned on 11/8 and became heavy on 11/11.  Storm totals of around 50 inches were recorded at Thompson Pass DOT between 11/8-11/13.  Snow lines rose to ~3000′ near the tail end of the storm with heavy rain occurring in low lying areas.

Announcements

11/15 Preseason update

Recent storms have been working to build our snowpack. However, a thin early season snowpack remains with hazards like, partially covered rocks, brush and open or thinly covered crevasses.  At this point our snowpack appears to lack major flaws at its base.  But do keep in mind that surface instabilities may exist and stability will likely vary from one location to another.  Watch for signs of instability such as shooting cracks, collapsing or recent avalanche activity.  Access remains difficult below brush line.

Click the (Full forecast +) button below for additional information.  Consistent avalanche forecasts will begin December 1st.