Above 2,500ft Moderate
1,500 to 2,500ft Moderate
Below 1,500ft Low
Degrees of Avalanche Danger ?
Last night’s new snow will probably not amount to enough for any new storm snow concerns. However, if heavy snow begins piling up today, or winds are causing fresh wind loading, keep an eye on the new snow to be building tender slabs sensitive to human triggers.
Problem #1: Wind Slab
Location: Wind loaded and cross-loaded E-S-W aspects above 1500ft. 19″ of snow fell over Ripinsky last week. Winds blew hard out of the north Wednesday-Friday, causing wind loading on S aspects and cross loading E and W aspects. Human triggered avalanches remain possible with these wind slabs at the top of the snowpack. Test slopes, ski cuts, and hand shears will be useful tools to evaluate bonding of these slabs and the danger on a particular slope. Always utilize safe terrain and group management techniques.
Problem #2: Deep Slab
Location: All aspects above 1500ft. Confidence: Low Now that the midpack is solidly re-frozen, a strong bridge exists over the main weak layer (old facets 1m deep in the Lutak zone and 30-45cm deep in the Pass). In most areas, it will be nearly impossible to penetrate the upper frozen ice layer. BUT, in areas where the snowpack is thin, it may still be possible to trigger basal facets or depth hoar which could propagate into areas of deep slab. The likelihood of this happening is generally low, but still possible. Use extra caution to avoid thin rocky areas at the margins of a slab. Be careful when approaching summits, ridges, and other windswept areas. Unsupported slopes will be most likely to slide in this scenario.
Recent Avalanche Activity
During the freeze-thaw conditions over the weekend (March 17th-18th), reports from the field included one human-triggered wet slide at the Pass, and isolated whumphing/collapsing still happening in all zones.
There was a widespread avalanche cycle (March 10th-13th), mostly size D2-D3, a few D4, all aspects. Failure planes appear to have been both above and below the Jan. ice crust, within storm snow, and on depth hoar at the ground in some rocky areas.
Snow totals from last night are around 2-3″. Light snow will continue today and tonight, with some snow and clouds lingering Wednesday. Winds will be moderate North, turning moderate South today.
|Snow Depth [in]||Last 24-hr Snow/SWE [in]||Last 3-days Snow/SWE [in]||Today’s Freezing Level [ft]||Today’s Winds||Next 24-hr Snow/SWE|
Mount Ripinsky @ treeline
|61″||2″ / 0.15||2″ / 0.15||0||mod, var||2″/ 0.20 *|
Flower Mountain @ treeline
|45″||2″ / 0.15||2″ / 0.15||0||mod, var||2″/ 0.20*|
Chilkat Pass @ 3,500ft
|26″*||2″ / 0.15 *||2″ / 0.15 *||0||mod, var||2″/ 0.20 *|
( *star means meteorological estimate )
Additional Info & Media
If you get out on the snow, send in your observations!