Early winter 2017-18. Daily forecasts will begin when conditions warrant in mid-November.
Until then, get your brain in gear for winter:
- change the batteries in your transceiver
- refresh your avalanche skills- November 18 Avalanche Rescue Workshop, Valdez Civic Center 10am-2pm
- bookmark this forecast page
- get your riding buddies stoked to wax their skis, change their sled oil, and/or buy that floatpack they’ve been needing
- mark the date for the first of the season VAC social events – November 17 Winter is Coming Boondocker Films 12 &13, Civic Center 7pm.
Above 2,500ft None
1,800 to 2,500ft None
Below 1,800ft None
Degrees of Avalanche Danger ?
Recent Avalanche Activity
Over the last week: north aspect, upper elevation, loose snow and windslab avalanches to size 2 off Francis at Milepost 1 and Meteorite at Milepost 12 triggered with 6-10 inches of new snow subsequently drifted with north winds.
|WEATHER FORECAST for NEXT 24 HRS at 3,000 ft:|
|Temperature Forecast (Min/Max *F):||27/15|
|Ridgetop Wind Forecast (direction/mph):||E-NE/10-15|
|Snowfall (in/water equivalent):||3″ /0.14 “|
|WIND & TEMPERATURE
PAST 24 hours
|Ferry Terminal||Thompson Pass|
|Average Wind Speed (mph) / Direction||5/ENE||17 /NE|
|Max Wind Gust (mph) / Direction||9/NE||29 /NE|
|Temperature Min / Max (*F)||29 /39||15 /24|
Additional Info & Media
There has been termination dust on the peaks since mid-August. October 6th was the first time it stuck at Thompson Pass. The snowline dropped down and 3-4″ wet snow accumulated. October 11-12 added another 3-5″ of snowfall down to 2500′ followed with a few more inches October 22nd.
As skies cleared, a moderate-to-strong north wind began transporting upper elevation dry snow. Peaks were seen flagging Tuesday and Wednesday, Oct.17-18.
If you are considering getting up into the snow, put your winter brain on. Consider the possibility of triggering a pocket of windslab from below. While coverage is still thin, high gullies could have 2-4′ of snow in them near ridgetops.
|SNOW HISTORY:||Valdez 10/22 AM||Thompson Pass 10/22 AM|
|24 Hour Snow / Water Equiv.||1”/0.1″||3″ /0.3″|
|Storm Snow /Water Equiv. (10/22-present)||1″ /0.1″||3″ /0.3″|
|Current Snow Depth||1″||6″|
|October Snow / Water Equiv.||1″ /0.1″||10″ / 1.0″|
|Total Winter Snowfall / Water Equiv.||1″ /0.1”||10″ / 1.0″|
|Snowload in Valdez||0 lbs/sq. ft.|
|SNOWFALL at OTHER STATIONS:
LAST 24 HRS (10/22 AM)/STORM TOTAL (10/22-present)/STORM WATER EQUIV.:
|Nicks Valley at 4200 ft (in):||13″ / 6″ / ?”|
|Upper Tsaina at 1750 ft (in):||?” / ?” / ?”|
|Sugarloaf at 550 ft (in):||1″/ 0.1″ / 0.1″|
|SNOW DEPTH & WATER SURVEY (10/2017)||Depth||Snow Water Equivalent|
|Milepost 2.5 Valdez||0″||0″|
|Milepost 29 Worthington Flats||0″||0″|
|Milepost 37 Tsaina River bridge||0″||0″|
|This survey is done the first week of each month.|
- Northeast Prince William Sound NWS Weather Forecast
- Middleton Island Radar for Valdez area
- GOES Alaska water vapor satellite loop
- NOAA NWS Recreational spot forecast for Thompson Pass
- Thompson Pass MP 25.7 RWIS weather station 2740′ (Mesowest)
- Valdez Marine Ferry Terminal weather station sea level
- Nicks Happy Valley above MP 30 weather station 4200′ (scroll to Nicks Valley)
- Upper Tsaina River Snotel near MP 32 1750′
- Sugarloaf Snotel 551′
- Above Valdez Glacier Cryosphere program weather station 6600′ <map here>
- Valdez Blueberry Weather Plot observations (scroll to bottom: Valdez City)
- More Mountain Weather resources for Alaska
- GFS 16 Day Model for Valdez
- Model Average Meteogram for Valdez
SNOW CLIMATE ZONES:
- Maritime (Coastal) – from the Port of Valdez to Thompson Pass, all waters flowing into Valdez Arm and everything south of Marshall Pass.
- Inter-mountain (Transitional) – between Thompson Pass and Rendezvous Lodge.
- Continental (Interior) – the dry north side of the Chugach (north of 46 Mile, including the Tonsina River).
Photo of Thompson Pass
Interactive Map of Valdez Forecast Areas w/ Many Resource Layers (Trevor Grams)
NEWS: Our region is “one of the snowiest places on earth” – Serendipity / Rendezvous snowfall record set in 1963 <here>.
Free smart phone avalanche forecasts at: http://www.