Cordova

Forecast Expired - 01/15/2019

Above 2,000ftConsiderable

1,000 to 2,000ftModerate

Below 1,000ftLow

Degrees of Avalanche Danger

Avalanche Problems

Problem 1

Storm Snow:

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Problem 2

Wet Avalanches:

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Problem 3

Falling Cornice:

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Weather

Cold dry weather in the last 10 days has left us with a shallow, faceted, sugary snowpack. A skiff of ice and hoar frost exists at sea level, while 2 ½ feet sits at 1500 feet, and 4 to 5 feet is in the upper mountains. Light northerly wind created some small isolated wind slabs above tree line. Winds have now become easterly as the next storm approaches.

Expect at least an inch of water overnight. This has started as light snow to sea level, but will change to rain as the freezing line climbs above our local peaks. Precipitation may be heavy at times. Moderate east winds will move available snow to western aspects. Avalanches are expected, though size and extent will depend on how much new snow accumulates before changing to rain. Precipitation should taper Monday, yet the weather looks to be busy through next week.